EXTREME WARNING: Is The Crypto Bull Run Over?

Crypto Banter

Summary of Crypto Market Transcript

Market Situation

  • The crypto market has experienced one of the worst liquidations in its history, with liquidations exceeding $2.24 billion.
  • The majority of these liquidations came from the long side and altcoins.
  • Despite this, the crypto bull run may still be intact, with Bitcoin's price action indicating a strong buy zone.

Bitcoin Analysis

  • Bitcoin is still range-bound on the high time frame, with a trading range between $108,000 and $91,271.
  • The weekly timeframe shows a significant area of support at $89,900, which has held so far.
  • If this level is lost, the next support level would be around $85,000.
  • The 200-day moving average is still above the price, indicating a potential bull run.

Altcoin Analysis

  • Altcoins have been heavily wrecked, with some losing major levels of support and breaking structure completely.
  • The altcoin sector is expected to bottom when Bitcoin dominance is topping.
  • Some altcoins, such as Solana and Hype, are showing relative strength and may be top contenders in the next leg up.

Market Outlook

  • The highest probability outcome is that the market will continue to range between the current levels.
  • The second highest probability outcome is that the market will follow the yellow line, with major support found at the 200-day moving average and a potential bounce.
  • The lowest probability outcome is that the market will break down and the bull run will be over.

Trading Strategy

  • Trade your portfolio and manage your capital to minimize losses.
  • Look for coins that are bouncing out first and holding relative strength.
  • Consider trading the ranges on altcoins, such as Solana and Hype.
  • Keep an eye on the total cryptocurrency market cap, which is still maintaining a cup and handle pattern.