Bitcoin [BTC]: This Is Crypto's Final Test.
Michael Pizzino
Market Update
The last 24 hours have seen a significant drop in overall volume, a red flag for any rally.
- Price has been rejected from the level discussed in the previous video.
- Continued drop in volume is a concern.
Market Data
- Low levels of liquidations at $300 million in the last 24 hours.
- 50-50 ratio, slightly favoring the short side of the market.
- Overall 24-hour volume has declined to $204 billion.
- Exchange volume averaged over a 7-day period is also declining.
Volume and Liquidity
- Huge drop-off in volume is a massive red flag for rallies.
- Consecutive days of outflows in spot ETFs, but not enough outflow to indicate a bottom.
Charts
- Total market cap rejected from the 50% point at $3.47 trillion.
- Bitcoin rejected from $103,700.
- Still technically strong on the trend line and speed line.
Outlook
- Expecting a breakout or breakdown from the current range to see sustainable trends.
- If the market breaks beneath $3.37 trillion, it could be an early sign of a retest of range lows.
- If the market sees closes and higher highs above $3.5 trillion, it could be a sign of an explosive wave three.
- still on the hunt for a confirmed wave two low, jury is still out.
Conclusion
The market is currently in a "washing machine market" with a lot of sideways action, and it's difficult to navigate.
- Expect more of the same until there's a breakout or breakdown from the current range.
- It may take a big capitulation event to flush out weak hands and sentiment before the market can move again.