Bitcoin Social Risk

Benjamin Cowen

Importance of Retail Return for Alt Season

Bitcoin dominance needs to decrease for an alt season to occur.

Required Conditions for Decrease in Bitcoin Dominance

  • Retail interest must surge and sustain
  • Similar patterns were seen in 2017 and 2021 when Bitcoin dominance dropped

Current Market Situation

  • Retail interest has not surged and sustained yet

Historical Precedent

  • In December 2020, social risk surged and then pulled back to around 0.35