Bitcoin [BTC]: Failed Cycle Signal - You've Been Warned.

Michael Pizzino

Market Analysis

The current market is showing signs of weakness, with a potential double top in play.

  • Total market cap is still above $3.37 trillion, a key support level.
  • Bitcoin is technically strong above $99,000, but short-term trends are bearish.
  • A breakdown below $99,000 could lead to a retest of range lows beneath $90,000.

Elliott Wave Analysis

The Elliott Wave count suggests that the market is in a wave four correction, with a potential wave five to come.

  • The yellow count represents the current bull market cycle.
  • The red count represents crypto's entire history.
  • A breakdown of the wave four correction could lead to a failed attempt at a rally, indicating that the top is already in.

Key Levels to Watch

  • $3.37 trillion: total market cap support level
  • $99,000: Bitcoin support level
  • $107,000: Bitcoin lower top
  • $100,000: psychological level for Bitcoin

Conclusion

The market is currently showing signs of weakness, but it's still above key support levels. A breakdown below these levels could lead to a larger correction. The Elliott Wave count suggests that the market is in a wave four correction, with a potential wave five to come.