Crypto Alert: Don't Be Fooled. It's NOT Over!

MoneyZG

Market Update and Predictions for 2025

The speaker is very positive about the market in 2025, citing two main reasons:

  • Positive rulemaking and legislation for the crypto industry
  • A weakening dollar and potential rate cuts, which would be a tailwind for risk asset prices and crypto prices

Current Market Situation

  • The speaker does not consider the current situation a drawdown, given that the price of Bitcoin doubled in 13-14 weeks and is now only 10% away from its all-time high
  • On-chain data suggests that short-term holders are being tested, but the market is still in a consolidation range

Fundamentals Driving Price in 2025

The speaker breaks down the fundamentals into three areas:

  1. Network Adoption: Bitcoin's hash rate is orders of magnitude higher than its previous all-time high, indicating massive adoption and investment in infrastructure
  2. Macro:
    • The market is not pricing in enough rate cuts, with only 25 basis points expected
    • The speaker believes that the Fed needs to cut interest rates to avoid a debt burden and will likely do so, which would be positive for asset prices
    • A weaker dollar is desired by many countries, including China and Europe, to stimulate their economies
  3. Specific Policy for Crypto: The appointment of a crypto czar and potential legislative changes are seen as positive for the industry

Conclusion

The speaker is super bullish on crypto for 2025, citing the strong fundamentals and potential for a weaker dollar and interest rate cuts. They encourage viewers to take advantage of deposit bonuses and permanent fee discounts on certain trading platforms.