Bitcoin [BTC]: "It's Over For Crypto" I'm Out If THIS Happens.

Michael Pizzino

Market Analysis and Insights

The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing a correction within an ongoing bull market. Key observations include:

  • Increased liquidation data, with $577 million in the last 24 hours, indicating a potential pause in the downtrend.
  • The long-short ratio favors the short side, with 51.5% short versus 48.5% long, suggesting a potential snap back to equilibrium.
  • High ETF inflows, almost reaching $1 billion in a day, which can lead to market tops.
  • Low exchange volume, currently at $50 billion per day, which may indicate unsustainable rallies.

Bitcoin Analysis

  • The weekly chart shows a major support zone at $91,300, with a breakdown and close beneath this level being a major warning sign.
  • The daily chart shows a bounce away from the close, with an uptick in volume, indicating potential short-term support.
  • Key levels to watch include $97,130, $99,000 to $100,000, and $102,000, which may act as resistance or support areas.

Timing Analysis

  • The current correction is 13 days from peak to trough, which is relatively short compared to previous corrections in the cycle.
  • The timing chart suggests that corrections typically last one to three months after breaking back into new cycle highs.
  • The Elliott Wave cycle indicates that we may be in the third major upswing, with a potential fifth and final leg to come.

Get Out Signal

  • A breakdown of short-term support and extension in the down move, followed by a failed attempt at the lows, would be a major red flag indicating a potential bear market.
  • This signal would prompt a reevaluation of the portfolio and potential adjustments to the investment strategy.