Bitcoin: The Unemployment Rate & Dubious Speculation

Benjamin Cowen

Summary of Video Transcript

  • No one can predict the market with certainty
  • The speaker uses if-then statements to make educated guesses about Bitcoin's performance
  • Possible scenarios:
    • Unemployment rate comes in low (below 4.3%): good for Bitcoin
    • Unemployment rate comes in at 4.3%: Bitcoin will likely chop around
    • Unemployment rate comes in higher than 4.3%: correction in the market
  • The speaker's reasoning is based on last year's trends:
    • Bitcoin dropped when unemployment rate was rising
    • Bitcoin rose when unemployment rate was not increasing
  • The market doesn't need a reason to go up, but it needs a reason to go down